{
 "question": "9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/9-0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-03",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-12",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.0645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.052,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.068,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.065,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.0635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.0705,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}