{
 "question": "Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above-1b",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-06",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-08",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.115,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.115,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.125,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}