{
 "question": "Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/fear-greed-index-on-sep-11-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-24",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-18",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Greed",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.205,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Fear",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Neutral",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.23,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.215,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Extreme Fear",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.15,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.12,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Extreme Greed",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.115,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.105,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}