{
 "question": "Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/fed-rate-hike-by-september-2026-meeting",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-08-27",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-12",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.43,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.35,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.275,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.28,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.275,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.315,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.31,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.31,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}