{
 "question": "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-july-31-2026.html",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-09",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1).",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0145
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.012
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0125
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}