{
 "question": "Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/jack-lowden-announced-as-next-james-bond",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-24",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.2775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.2775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.2775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.2325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.2365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.2255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-08",
     "probability": 0.4805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.421,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.3655,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.3655,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.38,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.3655,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.36,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.3695,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.3745,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.3745,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.3765,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.3265,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}