{
 "question": "Matteo Arnaldi wins?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/matteo-arnaldi-wins",
 "category": "sports",
 "as_of": "2026-08-31",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-28",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Matteo Arnaldi",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.55,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.605,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-31",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}