{
 "question": "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-by-june-30-2027",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-08-08",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-15",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.165,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.185,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.18,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.19,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.165,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.17,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.155,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.155,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.125,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}