{
 "question": "Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/russia-elections-united-russia-wins-every-region",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-24",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-19",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-01",
     "probability": 0.66,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-02",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-04",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-07",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-08",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.9815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.992,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.9905,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.995,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}