{
 "question": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31.html",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-08",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1).",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.045
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.045
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.045
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.125
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.045
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}