{
 "question": "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping Rotten Tomatoes score?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/the-hunger-games-sunrise-on-the-reaping-rotten-tomatoes-score",
 "category": "culture",
 "as_of": "2026-09-28",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-16",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Above 45",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-16",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.96,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Above 50",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Above 55",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.905,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Above 70",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.575,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.605,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.585,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Above 75",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.435,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.47,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.445,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Above 80",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.28,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.31,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.315,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Above 85",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.17,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.22,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.165,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.155,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Above 90",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-16",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.075,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}