{
 "question": "UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/uae-x-qatar-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-27",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.045,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.045,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.039,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.039,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.044,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.0425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.0395,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.0465,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.0405,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.048,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.048,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.0505,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.0515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.0515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.052,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.053,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.054,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.0505,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.0535,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}