{
 "question": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-september-30-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-14",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-03",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.64,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.76,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.76,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.455,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}