{
 "question": "Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/variational-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-30",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-26",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.2865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.1915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.2085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.2055,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.2035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-31",
     "probability": 0.205,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.2815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.286,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-30",
     "probability": 0.299,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}