{
 "question": "What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/what-will-be-the-top-ai-model-on-oct-31-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-01",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "gemini-4-argon-high",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.59,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.56,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.455,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "probability": 0.515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.65,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}