{
 "question": "What will BlackRock, Inc. say during their next earnings call?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/what-will-blackrock-inc-say-during-their-next-earnings-call",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-05",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-23",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Private Market",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.875,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.955,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.955,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.955,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Performance Fee",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.92,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.95,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "HPS",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.91,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.91,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.95,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Aladdin",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.9,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.92,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Digital Asset",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.72,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.78,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.73,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.76,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.83,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "AIP / AI Infrastructure Partnership",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.66,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.66,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Securitize / Securitized",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.59,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "AES",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.465,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.535,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}