{
 "question": "What will Donald Trump say during Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/what-will-donald-trump-say-during-remarks-in-las-vegas-nevada",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-05",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-04",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Social Security",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.955,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.975,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.975,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Oil / Gas / Gasoline",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Tariff",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.905,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Fake News",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Communist / Communism",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Venezuela",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.905,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Stock Market",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}