{
 "question": "What will MrBeast say during Next MrBeast Youtube Video?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/what-will-mrbeast-say-during-next-mrbeast-youtube-video.html",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-22",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Million",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.72,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.715,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.73,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.47,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.75,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.7,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.72,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.52,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.68,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.705,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Contestant",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.75,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.7,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.75,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.745,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.79,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.625,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Subscribe / Subscribed",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.65,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.685,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.695,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.39,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.67,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.655,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.66,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.65,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Beast",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.46,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.495,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.51,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.38,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.44,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.535,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.52,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.505,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.435,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.495,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.65,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.49,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.42,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.395,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Sponsor / Sponsored",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.37,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.4,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.34,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.3,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.47,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.415,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.36,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.405,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.38,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.38,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Billion",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.44,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.41,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.36,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.36,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.4,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.305,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.3,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.315,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Beast Games",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.11,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.13,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.15,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.14,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.33,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Dangerous Games",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.1,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.11,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.075,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.2,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.19,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.2,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}