{
 "question": "What will Walmart Inc. say during their next earnings call?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/what-will-walmart-inc-say-during-their-next-earnings-call",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-17",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-25",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
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   "name": "Marketplace / Market Place",
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    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.905,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.84,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.9,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.91,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.94,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.96,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Gas / Gasoline / Fuel",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.705,
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    },
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     "date": "2026-07-28",
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     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.685,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.68,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.68,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.685,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
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    },
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     "date": "2026-08-05",
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     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.72,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.75,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Sparky",
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    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.5,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.62,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.58,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.535,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.56,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.66,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.68,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.67,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.67,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.67,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.67,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.68,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.67,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.68,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.73,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.8,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.875,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Tariff",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.79,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.81,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.83,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.81,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.81,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.8,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.87,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Rollback / Roll Back",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.77,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.78,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.7,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.745,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.79,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.79,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.81,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.86,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
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  {
   "name": "Automation",
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     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
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    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.84,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.86,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Omnichannel",
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     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.53,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.745,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.735,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.75,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.5,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.66,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.67,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.63,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.66,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.695,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
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  {
   "name": "Competition / Competitor",
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    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.53,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.29,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.28,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.28,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.245,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.455,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.31,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.58,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.585,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}