{
 "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/when-will-anthropic-officially-announce-an-ipo",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-09",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-05",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Before Oct 24, 2026",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.34,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.455,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-07",
     "probability": 0.54,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-08",
     "probability": 0.555,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-09",
     "probability": 0.545,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Before Oct 17, 2026",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.25,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-07",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-08",
     "probability": 0.32,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-09",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Before Oct 10, 2026",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.06,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-07",
     "probability": 0.07,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-08",
     "probability": 0.1,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-09",
     "probability": 0.11,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}