{
 "question": "Where will Rodri go next?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/where-will-rodri-go-next",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-09",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-24",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Barcelona",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.1,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.055,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.055,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.11,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.17,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.395,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.87,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Manchester City",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.31,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.305,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.185,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.275,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.245,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.2,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.075,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Real Madrid",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.505,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.685,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.765,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.67,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.045,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}