{
 "question": "Where will Vinicius Junior go next?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/where-will-vinicius-junior-go-next",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-04",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-26",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Real Madrid",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.765,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.765,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.535,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.575,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.53,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.655,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.68,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Arsenal",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.465,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.215,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.215,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.435,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.385,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Manchester United",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}