{
 "question": "Who will be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-da68f1",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-30",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-21",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Alphabet",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.0355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.033,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-01",
     "probability": 0.0115,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-26",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-30",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "SpaceX",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-31",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-07",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-08",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-09",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-10",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-11",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-12",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-13",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-14",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-15",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-16",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-19",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-26",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-30",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Broadcom",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-10",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-11",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-14",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-15",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-16",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-30",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}