{
 "question": "Who will be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-july-31",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-29",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-08",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Apple",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.1275,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.3185,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.9075,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Alphabet",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.0155,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.001,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Amazon",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}