{
 "question": "Who will be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-08-25",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-19",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Ralph Norman",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.165,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}