{
 "question": "Who will be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-10-05",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Ulrich Siegmund",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-09",
     "probability": 0.365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.66,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "probability": 0.66,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}