{
 "question": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-romania.html",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-07-20",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Eugen Tomac",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0175,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.007,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.043,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Calin Georgescu",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.02,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Dacian Cioloș",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.001,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.001,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.003,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Sebastian Burduja",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Marcel Ciolacu",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}