{
 "question": "Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-win-the-2026-ballon-d-or.html",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-09",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1).",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Lamine Yamal",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.065
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.075
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.075
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Erling Haaland",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.075
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0535
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Michael Olise",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0655
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0635
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.051
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Pedri",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.013
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0125
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Luis Diaz",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0045
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0025
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Julian Alvarez",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0015
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0015
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0015
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Raphinha",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0015
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0015
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0015
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Bruno Fernandes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0015
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0015
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}