{
 "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-win-the-2026-maine-senate-election.html",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-07-10",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1).",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Susan Collins",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.445
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.425
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.385
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.385
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Troy Jackson",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.315
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.325
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.355
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.315
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Shenna Bellows",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.084
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.135
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.165
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.195
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Nirav Shah",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.105
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0755
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0715
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.0715
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Dan Kleban",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0225
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0165
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0285
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.0165
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Valli Geiger",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0035
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0055
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0135
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.0135
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Graham Platner",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0285
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.029
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0055
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.0115
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Jared Golden",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.009
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.006
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0085
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.007
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}