{
 "question": "Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination.html",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-09",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1).",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Gavin Newsom",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.1825
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.1855
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.183
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.163
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.158
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.1465
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Rahm Emanuel",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0165
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0165
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0235
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Jon Stewart",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0225
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0225
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.023
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Wes Moore",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0135
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0135
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0135
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Michelle Obama",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0115
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0115
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0115
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Stephen A. Smith",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0105
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0105
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0105
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Mark Kelly",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0125
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0125
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0105
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}