{
 "question": "Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-anna-kelly-be-the-next-white-house-press-secretary-of-united",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-20",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-13",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Anna Kelly",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.315,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.185,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}