{
 "question": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-anthropic-s-market-cap-be-between-1-75t-and-2-0t-at-market-close",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-15",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-06",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-07",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-30",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.245,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-13",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-14",
     "probability": 0.29,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-15",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}