{
 "question": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-anthropic-s-market-cap-be-between-2-0t-and-2-25t-at-market-close",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-08",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-02",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-02",
     "probability": 0.203,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "probability": 0.2095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-04",
     "probability": 0.2105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.2085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.2415,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.2365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.3005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.2935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.2935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.282,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}