{
 "question": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-anthropic-s-market-cap-be-between-2-25t-and-2-5t-at-market-close",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-16",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-10",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-10",
     "probability": 0.165,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-11",
     "probability": 0.175,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-14",
     "probability": 0.125,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-15",
     "probability": 0.115,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-16",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}