{
 "question": "Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-anthropic-s-valuation-hit-high-1-5t-by-december-31",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-15",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-20",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.65,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.69,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.68,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.64,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.64,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.64,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.63,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.93,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-13",
     "probability": 0.93,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-14",
     "probability": 0.93,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-15",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}