{
 "question": "Will at least 15 dates from Ed Sheeran 's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-at-least-15-dates-from-ed-sheeran-s-loop-tour-2026-be-cancelled",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-05",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-18",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "At least 15 dates cancelled",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.08,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-19",
     "probability": 0.05,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}