{
 "question": "Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-cmi-declare-a-millennium-prize-problem-solved-by-december-31-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-05",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-21",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.0355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.039,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.04,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.0395,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.04,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.0315,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-30",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.028,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.0325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.033,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "probability": 0.0335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.0335,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}