{
 "question": "Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.8?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-cpi-u-for-owners-equivalent-rent-for-september-2026-be-above-444",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-09-28",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-17",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Above 444.8",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-16",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.465,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.465,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.5,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.52,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}