{
 "question": "Will Darline Graham finish 1st in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-darline-graham-finish-1st-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-south",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-08-11",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-03",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Darline Graham",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.6,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.605,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.585,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.575,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}