{
 "question": "Will Democrats win more than 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-democrats-win-more-than-9-seats-in-the-2026-u-s-house-of",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-08-25",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-20",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Above 9",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}