{
 "question": "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-google-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-06",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.09,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-07",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-08",
     "probability": 0.075,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-12",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.415,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.425,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}