{
 "question": "Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-hdz-coalition-finish-2nd-in-the-2026-bosnia-and-herzegovina",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-09-28",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-15",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "HDZ coalition",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-15",
     "probability": 0.015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-16",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}