{
 "question": "Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-hibachi-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-12",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.18,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.185,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.19,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.235,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.32,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.31,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.64,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "probability": 0.58,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.575,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.57,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.61,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.6,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.495,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.52,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.585,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}