{
 "question": "Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-israeli-forces-withdraw-from-beyond-the-litani-river-by-december",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-09",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-08",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.385,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.42,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.19,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.185,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}