{
 "question": "Will it be confirmed that Troy Jackson is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-it-be-confirmed-that-troy-jackson-is-the-democratic-nominee-for.html",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-07-18",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Troy Jackson",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.44,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.745,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.765,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}