{
 "question": "Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model before Oct 1, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-it-be-reported-by-a-source-agency-that-z-ai-is-confirmed-as-the",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-25",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-22",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Z.ai",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.905,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}