{
 "question": "Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Jan 1, 2027?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-that-at-least-1-000",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-14",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-10",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-10",
     "probability": 0.063,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-11",
     "probability": 0.0305,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-12",
     "probability": 0.036,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-13",
     "probability": 0.064,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-14",
     "probability": 0.0325,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}