{
 "question": "Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect before Nov 3, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-that-the-united",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-05",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-22",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.23,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.625,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.23,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.17,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.04,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}