{
 "question": "Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Foreign Language Film at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-la-bola-negra-be-on-the-list-of-nominees-for-best-foreign",
 "category": "culture",
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-08",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "La Bola Negra",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.19,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.34,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.305,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.28,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}