{
 "question": "Will La Bola Negra win Best Foreign Language Film at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-la-bola-negra-win-best-foreign-language-film-at-the-32nd-critics",
 "category": "culture",
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "La Bola Negra",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.185,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.25,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.275,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}